Abstract PS09-01: Individual patient data meta-analysis of clinical and translational biomarkers for prediction of pathological complete response (pCR) after de-escalated therapy in HER2+ breast cancer in four trials of the West German Study Group

Abstract Background Introduction of anti-HER2 therapies substantially improved outcomes for HER2-positive early breast cancer (HER2+ eBC). However, a considerable proportion of patients (pts) may still be overtreated with systemic chemotherapy (CTx) combinations. Establishing safe de-escalation strategies to avoid toxicities requires precise patient selection. Therefore, we set out to determine predictors for efficacy and survival in the unique setting of four de-escalation trials investigating short (12-week) neoadjuvant treatments (NAT) in HER2+ eBC. We investigated the prognostic ability of clinical and translational biomarkers for pCR to identify pts with the best prognosis after de-escalated systemic CTx-free NAT. Methods 756 pts who received de-escalated NAT were analyzed: trastuzumab + pertuzumab (T + P, n=92) and T + P + paclitaxel (pac, n=42) in ADAPT-HR-/HER2+ (NCT01817452); trastuzumab emtansine (T-DM1, n=118), T-DM1 + endocrine therapy (ET, n=125), and T + ET (n=129) in ADAPT-HR+/HER2+ (NCT01779206), T + P + pac (n=107) and T + P + ET (n=100) in TP-II (NCT03272477); and T + P + pembrolizumab (n=43) in Keyriched-1 (NCT03988036) in HER2-enriched (HER2-E) subtype by PAM50. The primary endpoint of each trial was pCR (ypT0/is ypN0). Survival was a secondary endpoint in all trials but Keyriched-1; survival data for TP-II are pending. Baseline gene expression was analyzed by BC360 assay; intrinsic molecular subtypes were determined using the PAM50 predictor. Stromal tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) were evaluated at baseline and at week 3 of NAT. sTILs were categorized using a 30% threshold and the low cellularity category ( 500 invasive tumor cells) at week 3. Prognostic markers for pCR were identified with univariate and multivariable logistic regression models with backstep algorithm excluding variables with p≥0.1; considered variables included age, sTILs (baseline, 3-weeks), cT, cN, grade, hormone receptor and HER2 status, intrinsic subtype, and standardized ERBB2 and ESR1 gene expression. These analyses were performed separately for NAT involving systemic CTx (i.e. containing pac, n=149) and systemic CTx-free NAT (n=607). Results Overall pCR rate was 39.1% (CTx: 66.4%; CTx-free: 32.5%). Multivariable analysis identified predictors of pCR after CTx-free NAT: low cellularity at week 3 (vs 30% sTILs: OR 3.21, 95%CI 1.85-5.57), ERBB2 (OR 1.90, 95%CI 1.41-2.55), HER2 3+ (vs 1+/2+ and ISH+: OR 8.01, 95%CI 1.65-38.99), LumA/LumB/Basal subtype (vs HER2-E: OR 0.57, 95%CI 0.34-0.97), cT2 (vs 1: OR 0.54, 95%CI 0.33-0.89), and cN1-3 (vs 0, OR 0.46, 95%CI 0.27-0.78). In CTx-containing NAT, only ERBB2 (OR 2.08, 95%CI 1.28-3.40) and additionally ESR1 (OR 0.38, 95%CI 0.23-0.61) were prognostic for pCR. Updated analysis including expanded gene expression data from ADAPT-HR+/HER2+ and a prognostic score for pCR after CTx-free NAT developed using machine learning methods will be presented at the meeting. Conclusions This pooled analysis demonstrated a 66% pCR rate after a short (12-week) de-escalated NAT in HER2+ eBC. In one-third of patients (with mainly stage I cancer, higher HER2 expression by immunohistochemistry and gene expression analysis, and low cellularity at 3 weeks), pCR can be achieved without systemic CTx. Identified biomarkers could pave the way for developing new patient selection strategies to spare CTx-associated acute and late toxicities in a clinically meaningful number of patients. Citation Format: Monika Graeser, Oleg Gluz, Christine zu Eulenburg, Sherko Küemmel, Raquel von Schumann, Matthias Christgen, Rachel Wuerstlein, Enrico Pelz, Hans-Heinrich Kreipe, Peter Schmid, Marc Thill, Michael Braun, Jochem Potenberg, Claudia Schumacher, Joke Tio, Andreas Hartkopf, Marianne Just, Christian Schem, Kerstin Lüdtke-Heckenkamp, Eva-Maria Grischke, Felix Hilpert, Angela Kentsch, Ronald Kates, Ulrike Nitz, Nadia Harbeck. Individual patient data meta-analysis of clinical and translational biomarkers for prediction of pathological complete response (pCR) after de-escalated therapy in HER2+ breast cancer in four trials of the West German Study Group abstract. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PS09-01.