Using Tourist Diver Photos to Assess the Effects of Marine Heatwaves on Central Red Sea Coral Reefs

As marine heatwaves increase in frequency, more rapid means of documenting their impacts are needed. Herein, several thousand coral reef photos were captured before, during, and/or after high-temperature-induced bleaching events in the Central Red Sea, with a pre-existing artificial intelligence (AI), CoralNet, trained to recognize corals and other reef-dwelling organisms. The AI-annotated images were then used to estimate coral cover and bleaching prevalence at 22 and 11 sites in the Saudi Arabian and Egyptian Red Sea, respectively. Mean healthy coral cover values of 12 and 9%, respectively, were documented, with some sites experiencing >60% bleaching during a summer 2024 heatwave that was associated with 21–22 and 25 degree-heating weeks at the Saudi Arabian and Egyptian reefs, respectively. As a result of this mass bleaching event, coral cover at the survey sites has declined over the past 5–10 years by upwards of 6-fold in the most severely impacted regions. Although some recovery is likely, these Central Red Sea sites do not appear to constitute “climate refugia,” as may be the case for some reefs farther north.