Abstract PS3-11-06: Long-term prognostic and predictive value of lobular histology in the PALLAS trial

Abstract Background: Invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC) accounts for up to 15% of breast cancer (BC) cases and has distinct clinical and biological features compared to invasive carcinoma of no special type (IBC-NST). Prior studies, including PENELOPE-B, suggested greater benefit from adjuvant palbociclib (palbo) in ILC. We assessed the prognostic and predictive value of histology in patients (pts) treated with endocrine therapy (ET) ± palbo. Methods: PALLAS is a global, phase III trial in which pts with stage II-III, HR+/HER2− BC were randomized to 2 years (y) of adjuvant palbo + ET or ET alone. Pts with IBC-NST or pure ILC per local pathology assessment were included. Endpoints included invasive disease-free (IDFS; primary), distant recurrence-free (DRFS), locoregional recurrence-free (LRRFS), and overall survival (OS). Prognostic value was assessed using univariable and multivariate Cox models adjusted for age, T and N stage, grade, and progesterone receptor. Predictive value was assessed using histology-by-treatment interactions. Results: Among 5,748 pts in the ITT population, 4,982 (87%) were included (3,838 IBC-NST 67%, 1,144 ILC 20%); median follow-up 6.9y. Compared with IBC-NST, ILC was associated with older age (median 54 vs 51 y), higher T stage (T3/T4: 41.7% vs 20.4%), fewer grade 3 tumors (12.7% vs 33.5%), higher mastectomy rates (74.5% vs 58.4%), less (neo)adjuvant chemotherapy (72.2% vs 86.2%), and less tamoxifen as initial ET (28.8% vs 34.5%) (all p0.001). ILC prevalence varied by country: lower in Asia (Japan 10.5%, Korea 0%, Taiwan 2.8%) and higher in Europe (23.1%) and North America (24.0%). When evaluating the predictive value, palbo appeared to confer greater benefit in ILC for all endpoints (HRs ranging from 0.41 to 0.86) and not in IBC-NST (HRs ranging from 0.97 to 1.01), although the histology-by-treatment interaction was significant only for LRRFS (Table). In the overall population, 7-year IDFS was 79.3% for IBC-NST and 75.8% for ILC. While the difference was significant in univariable analysis (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.01-1.35), it was not in multivariable analysis (HR 1.06, 0.91-1.24). Notably, the proportional hazards assumption was violated, and time-dependent modeling demonstrated that worse outcomes for ILC on IDFS, DRFS, and other endpoints emerged predominantly beyond 3 years. Conclusions: In this large, randomized dataset of pts with early HR+/HER2− breast cancer with long-term follow-up, ILC demonstrated distinct clinicopathologic features and geographic distribution. While ILC was not an independent prognostic factor over the entire follow-up, time-dependent modeling revealed worse long-term outcomes which only emerged after 3 years. Palbo appeared to be associated with more favorable outcomes in ILC than in IBC-NST across endpoints. These findings suggest a potential benefit of palbo in ILC that warrants further investigation in other adjuvant trials evaluating CDK4/6 inhibitors. Citation Format: G. Nader-Marta, C. Desmedt, D. Hlauschek, A. DeMichele, G. Zoppoli, E. Blondeaux, E. de Azambuja, M. Bellet-Ezquerra, O. Metzger-Filho, J. M. Suga, G. Pfeiler, M. P. Goetz, M. Ruiz-Borrego, S. Loibl, J. Meisel, A. Ring, K. Van Baelen, E. P. Mamounas, N. Zdenkowski, E. Agostinetto, M. Lambertini, E. Gauthier, L. Soelkner, A. C. Dueck, M. Gnant, E. L. Mayer. Long-term prognostic and predictive value of lobular histology in the PALLAS trial abstract. In: Proceedings of the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium 2025; 2025 Dec 9-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2026;32(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PS3-11-06.