Modelling South African Gold Sales Using SARIMA, GARCH and Neural Networks

This study investigated the forecasting performance of the South African gold sales series using the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA), generalised autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic (GARCH), general regression neural network (GRNN) and artificial neural network (ANN)-based extreme learning machine (ELM). This study employed traditional methods and a recently developed ML method for single hidden-layer feed-forward neural networks (SLFNs). The findings revealed that