Urban and peri-urban agriculture (UPA) has emerged as a critical strategy to address multidimensional urban challenges, including food insecurity, environmental degradation, and social inequality. Despite its potential benefits, UPA occupies a marginal position in municipal governance frameworks. Understanding how public policies and social influence mechanisms shape consumer behavior and producer viability requires a systems-thinking approach capable of capturing complex socio-economic-ecological interactions. Therefore, we developed an agent-based model (ABM) following the ODD + D protocol to simulate urban agriculture market dynamics, incorporating producer and consumer agents within a spatially explicit grid environment representing the urban landscape. We implemented three policy interventions and conducted six complementary experiments. Education campaigns achieved the highest local market share, demonstrating strict Pareto dominance over all subsidy-based strategies. Production subsidies yielded equivalent outcomes but at a fiscal cost, reducing producer income inequality (Gini). Stress tests revealed moderate resilience to production shocks. The findings demonstrate the power of agent-based modeling to uncover policy dynamics in complex urban food systems, providing actionable evidence for sustainable urban governance.
Rossi et al. (Fri,) studied this question.