Thermal contextual algorithms for 375 m VIIRS active fire detection can produce substantial commission errors over persistent non-wildfire heat sources (e.g., refineries, gas flares, and volcanoes), and globally fixed thresholds may be suboptimal under heterogeneous thermal backgrounds. We present a lightweight spatiotemporal prior layer that augments by applying prior-guided, pixel-level parameter switching during the discrimination stage. The layer combines: (i) a persistent non-wildfire thermal anomaly mask (PFM) derived from multi-year VNP14IMG recurrence and seasonality statistics on a 0.004° grid, and (ii) a short-term heat-source mask (SHM) based on nighttime VIIRS I4/I5 brightness temperature stability to capture newly emerged or rapidly intensifying static sources. Pixels flagged by either prior are processed with a stricter parameter set, while other pixels follow the baseline setting. We evaluate the method using a stratified validation dataset (N = 3435) spanning industrial/urban clusters, volcanic regions, forest/grassland wildfires, and fragmented crop residue burning, with validation supported by independent high-resolution imagery (Sentinel-2/Landsat) and external POI datasets. The framework markedly reduces false positives in high-interference zones (industrial/urban false positive rate from 88.6% to 22.7%; volcanic from 100.0% to 57.3%) while preserving high performance for forest/grassland wildfires (F1 ≈ 0.999). For fragmented residue burning, omission error decreases from 11.2% to 1.3%, improving detection completeness without an apparent increase in commission errors. Overall, the results suggest that integrating long- and short-term spatiotemporal priors via threshold switching can improve the robustness and interpretability of contextual VIIRS fire detection under complex thermal backgrounds in the evaluated scenarios.
Gao et al. (Mon,) studied this question.