The dynamic response of the secondary circuit system in nuclear propulsion plants is critical to the power output, safety, and energy efficiency of nuclear-powered ships. High-fidelity thermo-hydraulic simulation models can accurately capture system transients but are computationally expensive and unsuitable for real-time applications. To address this limitation, this study proposes a reduced-order dynamic parameter prediction method that integrates high-fidelity simulation with deep learning. A multi-operating-condition simulation model of a typical nuclear-powered ship secondary circuit system is developed to generate time-series data covering load ramping and propulsion mode switching. Based on this dataset, a conventional recurrent neural network (RNN) and a multilayer long short-term memory (LSTM) network are constructed for multivariate autoregressive prediction of 17 key dynamic parameters, and their performances are systematically compared. Results show that the LSTM significantly outperforms the RNN in capturing long-term temporal dependencies, achieving average RMSE and MAPE values of 0.0228% and 0.365%, respectively. The proposed model completes 50-step-ahead prediction within 0.84 s, satisfying real-time requirements. The hybrid simulation-driven and data-driven framework provides a practical solution for intelligent monitoring and control optimization of nuclear-powered ship propulsion systems.
Li et al. (Thu,) studied this question.