Background/Objectives: This study aimed to investigate the impact of allergic diseases (AD) or obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) risk, as a host factor, on the development of severe Mycoplasma pneumoniae Pneumonia (SMPP) in children by analyzing the clinical data of pediatric patients with Mycoplasma pneumoniae Pneumonia (MPP). Methods: This retrospective study enrolled children hospitalized with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) at Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital from November 2024 to November 2025. Patients were classified into severe (SMPP) and mild (MMPP) groups. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, and questionnaire data were collected and compared between groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of SMPP and construct a nomogram. The model was validated for discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility using ROC curves, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis, with internal validation by bootstrap resampling. Results: Among the 150 enrolled children with MPP, 35 (23.3%) were classified as severe (SMPP) and 115 (76.7%) as mild (MMPP). Patients with SMPP exhibited significantly higher frequencies of allergic diseases, prolonged fever and steroid use, elevated inflammatory markers (CRP, LDH, D-dimer, ferritin, ALT), and higher PSQ and RQLQ scores (all p 3.5, LDH >327.50 U/L, or ferritin >120.05 ng/mL. The visual nomogram model constructed by combining these risk factors demonstrates improved predictive performance for SMPP, with high predictive efficacy and accuracy. It has great clinical value and can be used for individualized risk assessment and early intervention. However, our proposed nomogram requires external validation prior to broader implementation.
Yu et al. (Tue,) studied this question.