Three Architectures, Three Outcomes: A Scenario Analysis of Digital Twin Strategies for Swedish Industrial Resilience Under Armed Conflict

Key Points

• This research aims to analyze the impact of different digital twin strategies on Swedish industrial resilience during armed conflict.
• Developed three counterfactual scenarios: no-digitization, US cloud-dependent, and edge-native sovereign architectures.
• Examined sectors including manufacturing, agriculture, and logistics.
• Applied SECI knowledge conversion, absorptive capacity theory, and CLOUD Act jurisdictional analysis.
• Identified varying levels of resilience across the three architectures under simulated conflict conditions.
• Demonstrated that edge-native strategies enhance operational continuity more effectively than cloud-dependent approaches.
• Revealed significant implications for policy and technology implementation in industrial sectors.