To address issues existing in current multi-media pollution assessment, such as data mismatch, parameter conflicts, and inadequate characterization of nonlinear effects, this study developed a multi-factor synergistic assessment methodological system encompassing “data preprocessing-parameter calibration-damage quantification-model coupling”. A three-stage parameter calibration system of “inheritance-linkage-sensitivity screening” was established to achieve cross-media parameter synergy; an Environmental Damage Entropy (EDE) model was constructed based on information entropy to quantify the nonlinear coupled damage of multiple factors; and the optimal governance threshold was determined by combining the coupling theory of marginal damage and governance cost. Taking a multi-media pollution incident (atmosphere-soil-surface water-groundwater) caused by a chemical plant explosion as a case study, pollution chain identification, damage quantification, ecological risk cascading effect analysis, and health risk assessment were conducted. The results show that this method can accurately identify key pollution pathways. Based on the calculation of Environmental Damage Entropy (EDE = 0.604) and the synergy coefficient (δ = 1.32), the comprehensive damage value was quantified as 8.21 million yuan. Additionally, the threshold exceedance characteristics of various media were identified, reflecting the cumulative and lagging nature of ecological risk cascading effects. The method proposed in this study can accurately identify key pollution pathways and quantify comprehensive damage as well as ecological risks, providing scientific support for the allocation of multi-media pollution governance responsibilities and precise prevention and control.
Lin et al. (Wed,) studied this question.
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