Effects of a peer-support lifestyle intervention on diabetes incidence in India (K-DPP): 9-year follow-up of a cluster-randomised, controlled trial

BACKGROUND: Evidence on the long-term effectiveness of lifestyle interventions for diabetes prevention in low-income and middle-income countries is scarce. We aimed to evaluate the 9-year effect of a peer-support lifestyle intervention on the incidence of diabetes in India. METHODS: ] ≥6·5% 48 mmol/mol). We considered both physician-diagnosed diabetes and individuals who were initiated on antidiabetic medications during the follow-up period in the calculation of diabetes incidence. The primary outcome of the follow-up study was the cumulative incidence of diabetes at 9 years. Long-term effects were assessed using generalised linear models and generalised estimating equations. The trial was registered with the Australia and New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (updated from the original trial, number ACTRN12611000262909) and the Clinical Trial Registry of India (CTRI/2021/10/037191), and follow-up is ongoing. FINDINGS: Between Jan 20 and Oct 27, 2013, 60 polling areas were randomly assigned to the intervention group (n=30) or the control group (n=30). 500 participants were enrolled in the intervention group and 507 were enrolled in the control group. 475 (47%) participants were female and 532 (53%) were male. 863 (86%) participants were followed up at 9 years. The cumulative incidence of diabetes was 125 (30%) of 419 in the intervention group and 142 (34%) of 422 in the control group (relative risk RR 0·88 95% CI 0·73-1·08; p=0·24). When assessed using FPG criteria alone, the incidence of diabetes was 28% lower in the intervention group than in the control group (RR 0·72 0·53-0·98; p=0·036). No significant subgroup differences were observed in terms of age, sex, or baseline glycaemic status. INTERPRETATION: criteria was not statistically significant compared with the control group. The consistency of effects based on incidence of diabetes across subgroups supports the broad preventive potential of community-based, peer-led lifestyle interventions. FUNDING: The Australian National Health and Medical Research Council. TRANSLATION: For the Malayalam translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.