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Imagine that you were diagnosed with a serious illness and your physician offered you two treatment options. The first option was a medication that had only been tested in one trial with a reasonable sample size, but the treatment was successful in that trial. The second option was a medication that had undergone more than 200 post-market studies, with a 97% success rate and very limited evidence of adverse effects. Which treatment option would you choose? Most of us would choose the second option, and that underscores the value of replication research in that it inspires greater confidence in findings. However, in the organizational sciences, replication studies remain relatively uncommon, and researchers often rely on findings from a limited number of studies to inform theory and influence practice. This is particularly troublesome in social science fields that are highly sensitive to contextual factors.
Obenauer et al. (Thu,) studied this question.