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August 17, 2025Global Economic Review0 citations

Multilateral Dimensions of Bilateral Trade of Korea: A Comparative Analysis of Gross, Value-Added, and Income-based Approaches

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YLYoung-Jae LeeSLSeung-Hak Lee

Key Points

  • Significant misrepresentations arise when relying solely on gross trade measures, particularly in Korea's trade with China and the U.S.
  • Korea's gross trade balances overstate gains with China while understating them with the United States, revealing inconsistencies in perceptions of trade success.
  • An analysis applying gross, value-added, and income-based frameworks highlights the complexities of bilateral trade dynamics.
  • The shift in China-U.S. trade surpluses from 2014 to 2020 indicates evolving economic relationships, calling for a reassessment of trade data interpretation.

Abstract

This study presents a comprehensive analysis of South Korea's bilateral trade relationships by applying three distinct trade measurement frameworks: gross, value-added, and income-based balances. We reveal significant misrepresentations of trade gains when relying solely on gross measures. Our findings show that gross trade balances overstate Korea's gains with China while understating them with the United States. We also uncover a notable shift in China-U.S. trade dynamics: in 2014, China's value-added and income trade surpluses with the U.S. were two-thirds and less than half of the gross surplus. By 2020, this gap had nearly disappeared.

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Cite This Study

Lee et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68af4cd3ad7bf08b1ead5eb8https://doi.org/10.1080/1226508x.2025.2532455
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