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January 29, 2013Journal of the American Society of Nephrology1,303 citations

Kidney Disease and Increased Mortality Risk in Type 2 Diabetes

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MAMaryam AfkarianMSMichael C. SachsBKBryan Kestenbaum

Key Points

  • This study aims to understand the contribution of kidney disease to mortality risk among individuals with type 2 diabetes.
  • Analyzed 10-year cumulative mortality data from 15,046 participants in NHANES III linked with the National Death Index.
  • Defined kidney disease using urinary albumin/creatinine ratio and estimated GFR metrics.
  • Adjusted mortality rates for demographics, smoking, blood pressure, and cholesterol levels.
  • 10-year cumulative mortality was 31.1% (95% CI, 24.7%-37.5%) in individuals with both diabetes and kidney disease.
  • Absolute risk difference between those with diabetes and kidney disease and the reference group was 23.4% (95% CI, 17.0%-29.9%).
  • Individuals with diabetes but no kidney disease had a mortality rate of 11.5% (95% CI, 7.9%-15.2%).

Abstract

Type 2 diabetes associates with increased risk of mortality, but how kidney disease contributes to this mortality risk among individuals with type 2 diabetes is not completely understood. Here, we examined 10-year cumulative mortality by diabetes and kidney disease status for 15,046 participants in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) by linking baseline data from NHANES III with the National Death Index. Kidney disease, defined as urinary albumin/creatinine ratio ≥30 mg/g and/or estimated GFR ≤60 ml/min per 1.73 m(2), was present in 9.4% and 42.3% of individuals without and with type 2 diabetes, respectively. Among people without diabetes or kidney disease (reference group), 10-year cumulative all-cause mortality was 7.7% (95% confidence interval 95% CI, 7.0%-8.3%), standardized to population age, sex, and race. Among individuals with diabetes but without kidney disease, standardized mortality was 11.5% (95% CI, 7.9%-15.2%), representing an absolute risk difference with the reference group of 3.9% (95% CI, 0.1%-7.7%), adjusted for demographics, and 3.4% (95% CI, -0.3% to 7.0%) when further adjusted for smoking, BP, and cholesterol. Among individuals with both diabetes and kidney disease, standardized mortality was 31.1% (95% CI, 24.7%-37.5%), representing an absolute risk difference with the reference group of 23.4% (95% CI, 17.0%-29.9%), adjusted for demographics, and 23.4% (95% CI, 17.2%-29.6%) when further adjusted. We observed similar patterns for cardiovascular and noncardiovascular mortality. In conclusion, those with kidney disease predominantly account for the increased mortality observed in type 2 diabetes.

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Cite This Study

Afkarian et al. (2013) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/695eafacd8a79a4631ef501bhttps://doi.org/10.1681/asn.2012070718
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