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January 20, 2026Scientific Reports1 citationsOpen Access

Enhancing the resolution of microseismicity through dense array monitoring in complex extensional settings

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FUFortunato Scotto di UccioTMTitouan MuzellecASArianna Scala

Key Points

  • To enhance the understanding of seismicity patterns and fault geometry in extensional environments through a dense array deployment.
  • Short-term array deployment in Southern Apennines, Italy for one year
  • Integration of recorded data with machine learning techniques
  • Creation of a comprehensive seismic catalog
  • Seismic catalog completeness improved by nearly an order of magnitude
  • Approximately 65% of detected events accurately relocated with median uncertainties < 100 m
  • Identification of a curving fault characterized by dynamic rupture propagation potential

Abstract

Characterizing geometry and mechanics of structures hosting moderate-to-large earthquakes is essential for seismic hazard assessment, yet remains challenging in extensional environments, where fault systems include multiple segments and bends. In this study, we demonstrate how a short-term array deployment can provide critical insights into seismicity patterns and fault geometry in Southern Apennines, Italy.We integrated data recorded by arrays during a one-year experiment with machine learning methodologies, producing a seismic catalog that enhances the manual catalog for the same period by nearly an order of magnitude, lowering completeness magnitude by one unit. Approximately 65% of the detected events can be accurately relocated, with median uncertainties of ~ 100 m, comparable to those of long-term catalogs. Our results reveal consistent seismicity properties down to decametric earthquake size, with hypocenters and b-value mirroring those from the previous decade. We distinguish a shallow, diffuse seismicity, likely influenced by hydrological loading, from deeper clusters, mostly rupturing patches a few-hundred meters across. Beyond asperity-scale complexity, seismicity follows the boundaries of tomographic anomalies, delineating a 50–60 km-long curving fault, featuring a right-stepping jog several kilometers wide. Dynamic simulations suggest that ruptures nucleating on this fault could propagate through these complexities, potentially generating earthquakes up to magnitude 7.0.

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Cite This Study

Uccio et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/696ed06d6d8d470fca57ab5bhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-35586-3
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