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April 12, 2026Annali Italiani di Chirurgia0 citationsOpen Access

Association of Postoperative Nadir Haemoglobin Levels With Long-term Adverse Events After Elective Noncardiac Surgery

MJMonir JawadABAmir Baigi

Key Result

Postoperative nadir haemoglobin levels were not independently associated with the one-year composite outcome of mortality and cardiovascular morbidity in patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery.

Key Points

  • This study investigates how low hemoglobin levels after surgery relate to long-term health outcomes, including mortality and heart issues.
  • Secondary analysis of data from a study of elective noncardiac surgery in patients aged ≥50 years.
  • Postoperative hemoglobin levels measured daily for up to 3 days or until discharge.
  • Used multivariable logistic regression to analyze the association with long-term outcomes.
  • 1284 patients included, with 40.6% having preoperative anaemia.
  • Median postoperative nadir hemoglobin was 102 g·L–1.
  • Weak but statistically significant association found with one-year mortality (adjusted OR 0.98).
  • No independence of postoperative nadir hemoglobin was observed with the primary outcome.

Study Design

Type

Observational (n=1,284)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

Are postoperative nadir haemoglobin levels associated with long-term adverse events (mortality and cardiovascular complications) in patients aged ≥50 years undergoing elective noncardiac surgery?

P
Population
1284 patients aged ≥50 years undergoing elective noncardiac surgery
I
Intervention
Postoperative nadir haemoglobin (Hb) levels
O
Outcome
Composite endpoint comprising all-cause mortality and cardiovascular complications over a one-year periodcomposite

Postoperative nadir hemoglobin levels well above 70 g/L are not independently associated with a 1-year composite of mortality and cardiovascular complications after elective noncardiac surgery, though they are weakly associated with 1-year mortality.

Main Result

Effect estimate: aOR 0.99 (95% CI 0.97-1.01)

p-value: p=0.123

Limitations

  • Residual confounding cannot be entirely ruled out despite rigorous adjustments
  • Analysis focused on the numerical value of nadir Hb, not on the shift or percentage of decline, and only within the first three postoperative days
  • Limited sample size and fewer secondary outcome events could have resulted in overfitting
  • Cohort consisted exclusively of patients undergoing major noncardiac surgeries, limiting generalisability
  • Neither perioperative anaemia management nor surgical category was considered in the analysis

Abstract

AIM: Preoperative anaemia is a well-established risk factor for poor outcomes. However, the impact of postoperative haemoglobin (Hb) levels on long-term outcomes, including mortality and cardiovascular events, remains uncertain. This study aims to assess the independent association between postoperative nadir Hb levels and long-term outcomes, considering the potential interaction with preoperative anaemia status. METHODS: This study is a secondary analysis of data from the Myocardial Injury in Noncardiac Surgery in Sweden study, which included patients aged ≥50 years undergoing elective noncardiac surgery. Postoperative Hb levels were measured daily for up to 3 days or until discharge, and the lowest recorded value was used as the primary exposure variable. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was employed to explore the independent association of postoperative nadir Hb with the primary outcome of a composite endpoint comprising all-cause mortality and cardiovascular complications over a one-year period, adjusting for a range of perioperative risk factors, including preoperative anaemia. To account for a potential interaction with preoperative anaemia, an interaction term was added to the model. Secondary outcomes were one-year mortality and one-year cardiovascular morbidity. RESULTS: A total of 1284 patients were included, of whom 521 (40.6%) had preoperative anaemia. The median postoperative nadir Hb level was 102 g·L–1 (interquartile range 92–114). Postoperative nadir Hb was not independently associated with the composite primary outcome; however, it showed a weak but statistically significant association with one-year mortality (adjusted odds ratio aOR 0.98, 95% confidence interval CI 0.95–0.99). No significant interaction was found between preoperative anaemia and postoperative nadir Hb. Independent predictors of the primary outcome included university hospital status (aOR 2.83, 95% CI 1.96–4.10), age (aOR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03–1.07), and unplanned postoperative intensive care (aOR 3.17, CI 1.08–9.28). CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative nadir Hb levels, within the observed range well above 70 g·L-1, were not independently associated with the long-term composite outcome. However, they were weakly associated with one-year mortality. No significant interaction was found between preoperative anaemia and postoperative nadir Hb. These findings highlight the need for further investigation into the clinical significance of postoperative Hb levels in high-risk patients.

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Cite This Study

Jawad et al. (2026) conducted an observational in Elective noncardiac surgery (n=1,284). Postoperative nadir haemoglobin levels was evaluated on Composite of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular morbidity within one year (aOR 0.99, 95% CI 0.97-1.01, p=0.123). Postoperative nadir haemoglobin levels were not independently associated with the one-year composite outcome of mortality and cardiovascular morbidity in patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69db37404fe01fead37c540dhttps://doi.org/10.62713/aic.4416
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