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February 26, 2026Human Genomics1 citationsOpen Access

Enhancing prostate cancer diagnosis: a machine learning-based biomarker approach

PPPatricia Porras-QuesadaARAlberto Ramírez-MenaVAVerónica Arenas-Rodríguez

Key Points

  • This research aims to evaluate the effectiveness of a machine learning-based gene signature for diagnosing prostate cancer.
  • Developed a machine learning algorithm using TCGA data with 608 samples.
  • Identified eleven candidate genes using targeted RNA-Seq in a validation cohort of 141 prostate tissue samples.
  • Validated the gene signature in replication tissue (75 samples) and plasma (50 samples) using qPCR and dPCR methods.
  • Calculated diagnostic performance metrics including AUC to assess model accuracy.
  • Identified a six-gene signature with high diagnostic performance (AUC = 95.9%) for distinguishing prostate cancer from non-tumoral tissue.
  • AMACR in plasma showed additional diagnostic value with an AUC of 93.21% when integrated with clinical data.
  • The gene signature helped resolve ambiguous biopsy results and reduced diagnostic uncertainty, potentially improving early detection.

Abstract

The lack of reliable screening biomarkers for prostate cancer (PC) diagnosis makes tissue biopsy the gold-standard strategy. However, its frequent inconclusive results often lead to repeated procedures, increasing patient burden and healthcare costs. In this context, machine learning (ML) presents a novel approach for identifying gene signatures associated with tumor presence, offering a promising avenue for improved PC detection. Therefore, the present study explored the diagnostic potential of an ML-based gene signature and its applicability in tissue and plasma samples. This study evaluated the clinical applicability of an ML-based algorithm developed using TCGA data (n = 608) and tested in an independent dataset (n = 349). The eleven candidate genes that contributed most to the predictive model were initially profiled by targeted RNA-Seq in prostate tissue validation cohort (n = 141) and further validated in replication tissue (n = 75) and plasma (n = 50) cohorts by qPCR and dPCR, respectively. Gene expression analysis in prostate tissue led to the identification of a six-gene signature (DLX1, TDRD1, AMACR, HPN, HOXC6, and OR51E2) with high diagnostic performance (AUC = 95.9%). Expression patterns supported the gene signature’s potential to identify false-negative cases and correctly classify inconclusive biopsy results. In plasma, AMACR demonstrated added diagnostic value as a non-invasive biomarker when integrated with clinical parameters (AUC = 93.21%). These findings demonstrate that our ML-based gene signature can accurately distinguish PC from non-tumoral tissue and resolve ambiguous biopsy results. Its integration alongside histopathology has the potential to reduce diagnostic uncertainty, improving PC early detection and guiding clinical decision-making. This study validates a machine learning–derived gene expression signature that improves prostate cancer diagnosis, particularly in cases with ambiguous or false-negative biopsy results. The six-gene panel was experimentally validated using targeted RNA-Seq and PCR-based techniques in independent cohorts of prostate tissue and plasma, showing excellent diagnostic performance. By complementing standard histopathology, this molecular tool may enhance early detection, reduce unnecessary repeat biopsies, and support the integration of precision medicine into routine prostate cancer care.

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Cite This Study

Porras-Quesada et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/699fe37b95ddcd3a253e7630https://doi.org/10.1186/s40246-026-00939-6
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