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March 6, 2026Journal of Clinical Medicine1 citationsOpen Access

Diagnostic and Prognostic Value of Serum Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein in Acute Ischemic Stroke

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LALuisa AgnelloACAnna Maria CiaccioFBFabio Del Ben

Key Points

  • This research investigates the diagnostic and prognostic value of serum GFAP in acute ischemic stroke.
  • Retrospective case-control design involving AIS patients and healthy controls.
  • Serum GFAP levels measured within 24 hours using Lumipulse G1200 automated assay.
  • Stroke severity assessed by NIHSS and functional outcomes evaluated via the modified Rankin Scale.
  • Statistical associations analyzed using Spearman correlation and ROC analysis for diagnostic accuracy.
  • GFAP levels were significantly elevated in AIS patients compared to controls (median 132.9 vs. 30.0 pg/mL, p < 0.001).
  • ROC analysis showed an AUC of 0.88 (95% CI 0.81–0.96).
  • Sensitivity of 74% and specificity of 92% achieved at a cutoff of 71 pg/mL; optimal positive and negative predictive values were 95% and 96% at 150 and 32 pg/mL respectively.
  • GFAP correlated with stroke severity (NIHSS, ρ = 0.37–0.40, p < 0.001) and disability (mRS, ρ = 0.48–0.49, p < 0.001).

Abstract

Background: Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality, with an unmet need for reliable blood-based biomarkers. Glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), an astrocytic structural protein, is established in hemorrhagic stroke and traumatic brain injury, but its role in AIS remains incompletely defined. Methods: In this retrospective case-control study, we enrolled AIS patients and healthy controls. Serum GFAP was measured within 24 h using the Lumipulse G1200 automated assay. Stroke severity and outcome were assessed with the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and functional outcome with the modified Rankin Scale (mRS). Associations with clinical measures were explored using Spearman correlation, and diagnostic accuracy was determined by ROC analysis. Results: GFAP levels were significantly higher in AIS patients than controls (median 132.9 vs. 30.0 pg/mL, p < 0.001). The ROC analysis yielded an AUC of 0.88 (95% CI 0.81–0.96). A cutoff of 71 pg/mL achieved 74% sensitivity and 92% specificity, while 150 pg/mL and 32 pg/mL optimized positive and negative predictive values (95% and 96%). GFAP was correlated with stroke severity (NIHSS, ρ = 0.37–0.40, p < 0.001) and disability (mRS, ρ = 0.48–0.49, p < 0.001). No significant differences appeared across TOAST subtypes. Conclusions: Serum GFAP is significantly elevated in AIS and demonstrates strong diagnostic and prognostic value. Integration of GFAP into clinical workflows may enhance early stroke detection and outcome prediction, supporting its role as a promising biomarker in AIS.

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Cite This Study

Agnello et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69aa70e7531e4c4a9ff5b2dahttps://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15051971
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