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May 3, 20261 citations

Comparison of Cervical Spine Injury Prediction Rule Across Ages.

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DCDaniel J. CorwinPCPradip P. ChaudhariLTLeah Tzimenatos

Key Points

  • Evaluate the performance of the PECARN cervical spine injury prediction rule among pediatric age groups.
  • Secondary analysis of the PECARN CSI study involving children under 18 years with blunt trauma.
  • Participants were divided into four age groups: <2, 2-7, 8-15, and 16 to <18 years.
  • Age-specific rules derived using classification and regression tree (CART) analysis.
  • Sensitivity of PECARN CSI Prediction Rule ranged from 91.7%-94.4%, similar to age-specific rules (88.4%-97.5%).
  • Specificity for PECARN ranged from 44.6%-72.3%, comparable to age-specific rules (45.9%-75.9%).
  • All negative predictive values were ≥99.6% across age groups for all rules.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the performance of the Pediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network (PECARN) cervical spine injury (CSI) prediction rule among different pediatric age groups and derive and assess age-specific CSI prediction rules. METHODS: We conducted a planned secondary analysis of the PECARN CSI study of children younger than 18 years with known or suspected blunt trauma evaluated at 1 of 18 children's hospitals' emergency departments. Participants were divided into 4 clinically relevant age groups (<2, 2-7, 8-15, and 16 to <18 years). Age-specific rules were derived from the 4 high-risk predictors of the PECARN CSI Prediction Rule and using a classification and regression tree (CART) analysis to identify additional non-negligible age-specific risk factors. Rule performance was assessed using sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values (NPVs) for each age group. RESULTS: There were 22 430 participants included in analysis. Three to 8 risk factors were identified as non-negligible risk in CART analysis for each age-specific rule. The sensitivity of the PECARN CSI Prediction Rule (range 91.7%-94.4% across age groups) was similar to age-specific rules (range 88.4%-97.5%). The specificity of the PECARN CSI Prediction Rule (range 44.6%-72.3% for age groups) was also similar to age-specific rules (range 45.9%-75.9%). NPVs (all ≥99.6%) were similar across age groups for all rules. CONCLUSIONS: Rule performance for the age-specific CSI prediction rules and the PECARN CSI Prediction Rule were similar. These findings support clinicians' use of the PECARN CSI Prediction Rule across the pediatric age spectrum.

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Cite This Study

Corwin et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69f6e5cf8071d4f1bdfc67bdhttps://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2025-075341
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