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July 21, 1995Science2,149 citations

The Future of Biodiversity

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SPStuart L. PimmGRG.J. RussellJGJohn L. Gittleman

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Abstract

Recent extinction rates are 100 to 1000 times their pre-human levels in well-known, but taxonomically diverse groups from widely different environments. If all species currently deemed "threatened" become extinct in the next century, then future extinction rates will be 10 times recent rates. Some threatened species will survive the century, but many species not now threatened will succumb. Regions rich in species found only within them (endemics) dominate the global patterns of extinction. Although new technology provides details of habitat losses, estimates of future extinctions are hampered by our limited knowledge of which areas are rich in endemics.

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Cite This Study

Pimm et al. (1995) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0f2f3b04e2b0ba896ca649https://doi.org/10.1126/science.269.5222.347
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Also Consider

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  1. 1Keeping Options Alive: The Scientific Basis for Conserving Biodiversity1989 · 434 citations
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