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April 17, 2026Open Access

Evaluating Parallel Grid Search for Arima Hyperparameter Selection in Financial Time Series

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Authors

KLKael Siebra LimaCRCenez Araújo Rezende

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Overview

This work demonstrates improved forecasting accuracy and speed in financial time series using parallelized ARIMA parameter selection.

Key Points

  • The study aims to enhance ARIMA forecasting by employing parallelized grid search for efficient hyperparameter selection.
  • Developed an automated ARIMA pipeline integrating stationarity testing.
  • Implemented parallelized grid search for hyperparameter optimization.
  • Evaluated the approach on three Brazilian stocks over various time horizons.
  • Achieved a geometric mean speedup of 1.74×, up to 6.58× for medium-length series.
  • Maintained forecasting accuracy below 3% MAPE for medium-term forecasts.
  • Showed that parallel efficiency varies significantly with problem scale, especially in medium-length series.

Cite This Study

Lima et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69e1cfcb5cdc762e9d858c5dhttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19011374
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