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March 3, 2026Review of Financial Studies0 citations

The Impact of Carcinogenic Risk Exposure on Housing Values: Estimates from Chemical Reclassifications

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JBJules van BinsbergenJCJoão F. CoccoMGMarco Grotteria

Key Points

  • Housing values decline by 1–2% within a 3-mile radius of reclassified toxic plants, indicating sensitivity to cancer risk.
  • The analysis incorporates changes in housing values based on proximity to affected areas, isolating the impact of cancer risk.
  • Strongest effects observed in regions with higher media coverage, highlighting the importance of public awareness.
  • This approach provides unique insights into how perceived carcinogenicity influences real estate markets.

Abstract

Abstract We quantify the impact of perceived cancer risk on housing values using widely advertised national reclassifications of chemical carcinogenicity in the United States. Combining these information events with an empirical design that compares changes in house values closer to affected toxic plants against those farther away isolates the effect of cancer risk news from other local factors. Focusing on plants previously emitting reclassified carcinogenic chemicals, we estimate a 1–2% decline in housing values within a 3-mile radius compared to those located farther away. The effects are stronger in areas with higher media presence underscoring the role of salience as a mechanism.

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Cite This Study

Binsbergen et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a75be0c6e9836116a23fcehttps://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhag006
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