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March 3, 2026Transportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board0 citations

Analyzing the Impacts of the 9-Euro-Ticket on Mode Choice using GPS Panel Data and Discrete Choice Models

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FBF. BeckSMSantiago Álvarez-Ossorio MartínezKBKlaus Bogenberger

Key Points

  • A substantial reduction in the value of travel time savings for public transportation was observed during the 9-Euro-Ticket intervention period, emphasizing policy impact.
  • Estimates revealed that the value of travel time savings dropped to about half compared to the months following the intervention, showing a drastic change in user behavior.
  • Analysis employed two multinomial logit models to assess the effects of the nearly fare-free policy on mode choice and travel time savings dynamics.
  • The findings highlight the importance of rigorous preprocessing techniques when using GPS-revealed preference data to inform transportation policy decisions.

Abstract

Estimating behavioral parameters for mode choice typically relies on revealed- or stated preference data. However, applying GPS-based revealed preference (GPS-RP) panel data in modeling mode choice, particularly in response to shocks or policy interventions, remains relatively rare and methodologically under-explored. This paper discusses the preparation, processing, filtering, and modeling of (semi-)automated travel diaries collected over 3 months, including the 9-Euro-Ticket fare policy intervention in Germany in 2022. By estimating two multinomial logit models, we investigated how this intervention influenced the value of travel time savings (VTTS) across different modes. Our findings revealed a substantial reduction in VTTS for public transportation during the intervention period, with values approximately half those in the months following the intervention, highlighting the profound impact of this nearly fare-free policy. This study debates the difficulties and complexities of estimating VTTS using GPS-RP data for urban travel behavior. It underscores the importance of robust preprocessing and filtering methodologies when handling complex GPS data, and discusses how the intervention’s effects on VTTS and project appraisal could inform future transportation policy and investment strategies.

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Cite This Study

Beck et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a75cd7c6e9836116a260b9https://doi.org/10.1177/03611981251404347
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