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March 3, 2026Energy3 citationsOpen Access

Decarbonization Pathways for China's Power Sector Under Socioeconomic Uncertainties

Rethinking China's power decarbonization pathway under new socioeconomic uncertainties: A multi-objective perspective via bottom-up modelling and scenario analysis

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Authors

MRMuzhen RenHZHuawei ZhangLZLu Zhang

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Overview

Assessment reveals how socioeconomic changes reshape decarbonization pathways in China's power sector, suggesting critical strategies for emissions control.

Key Points

  • China’s electricity demand could reach 16.4-23.7 PWh by 2060, driven by various factors like electrification and high-load industries.
  • Wind and solar may generate up to 70% of electricity, supported by nuclear, hydropower, and energy storage solutions.
  • A bottom-up, multi-module simulation model was developed to analyze diverse socioeconomic pathways and their effects on emissions.
  • The clean power transition provides strong synergies for carbon and pollution reduction, highlighting the need for coordinated planning.

Cite This Study

Ren et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69a76055c6e9836116a2cf84https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2026.140199
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