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March 25, 2026Sustainable Development0 citations

Nonlinear Dynamics of Vehicle Production and CO2 Emissions in Global Transport Decarbonization

Navigating the Transition: Unpacking Nonlinear Dynamics of Vehicle Production and Decarbonizing Global Transport

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Authors

DLDi LiDHDominic Harrington

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Overview

This analysis uncovers how vehicle production influences CO2 emissions in major producing countries, suggesting integrated strategies for effective decarbonization.

Key Points

  • The research aims to investigate the relationship between vehicle production and transport-related CO2 emissions in major countries from 2010 to 2022.
  • Examined 24 major vehicle-producing countries for the period 2010-2022
  • Used second-generation panel econometric techniques, specifically nonlinear cross-sectionally augmented ARDL models
  • Included variables like gross fixed capital formation, globalization, urbanization, renewable energy consumption, and energy intensity
  • Found a U-shaped relationship between conventional motor vehicle production and transport emissions
  • Emissions decline at lower production levels due to efficiency gains but rise as production increases
  • Electric vehicle production also shows a U-shaped pattern, with initial increases in emissions followed by declines at higher production levels
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Cite This Study

Li et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69c37afeb34aaaeb1a67d06dhttps://doi.org/10.1002/sd.70734
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