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April 29, 2026BMC Neurology0 citationsOpen Access

Epidemiology of unspecified degenerative nervous system disorders: mortality trends via CDC WONDER (1999–2025)

PAPalwasha AsgharMJMuhammad JawadKIKinza Irshad

Key Points

  • This research aims to analyze mortality trends related to unspecified degenerative nervous system disorders from 1999 to 2025.
  • Analyzed U.S. mortality data from CDC WONDER (1999–2025) using age-adjusted mortality rates.
  • Employed joinpoint regression for estimating annual percent changes, stratified by sex, race, and urbanization.
  • Conducted sensitivity analyses to assess the stability of findings.
  • Overall age-adjusted mortality rate increased from 0.66 to 1.44 per 1,000,000 from 1999 to 2025.
  • Notable trends include a 15.79% rise from 2011 to 2014 and a decline of -3.14% from 2014 to 2018 (both p < 0.05).
  • Mortality trends varied across demographics and regions, with consistent increases in metropolitan areas.

Abstract

Unspecified degenerative nervous system disorders (ICD-10 G31.9) increasingly contribute to neurological mortality, yet national temporal patterns remain unclear. We analyzed U.S. mortality data (1999–2025) from CDC WONDER. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were analyzed using Joinpoint regression to estimate annual percent changes (APCs), stratified by sex, race, urbanization, and census regions. Sensitivity analyses assessed stability. Overall, AAMR increased from 0.66 per 1,000,000 in 1999 to 1.44 per 1,000,000 in 2025. The trend showed four joinpoints: from 1999 to 2011 (APC 1.34%, p < 0.05), a sharp rise from 2011 to 2014 (15.79%, p < 0.05), a decline from 2014 to 2018 (-3.14%, p < 0.05), a rise from 2018 to 2021 (13.38%, p < 0.05), and a decrease thereafter (-1.89%, p < 0.05). Females showed early increases, whereas males were stable before 2011. Racial and regional analyses revealed heterogeneity, with post-2010 increases in several groups. Metropolitan areas showed persistent increases, while nonmetropolitan trends fluctuated. Sensitivity analyses confirmed findings. Mortality from G31.9 disorders shows changing trends, varying across demographics and regions. These differences highlight gaps in diagnosis and care, emphasizing the need for targeted public health strategies.

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Cite This Study

Asghar et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69f1a033edf4b46824806ecdhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12883-026-04925-2
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