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May 17, 20260 citationsOpen Access

AAM-V1: Spectral-Topological Runtime Telemetry for Early Detection of Recurrent Collapse in Long-Horizon Autonomous Agents

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AAANDRII ARTSYBASHEV

Key Points

  • This study aims to develop a telemetry middleware to predictably detect performance degradations in autonomous agents before failure.
  • Introduced AAM-V1, an architecture-agnostic runtime telemetry middleware.
  • Evaluated autonomous agents' sequences with metrics like Participation Ratio and Recurrence Determinism.
  • Performed passive replay-backtesting using historical logs from SWE-agents and swarm simulations.
  • AAM-V1 demonstrated a measurable Predictive Horizon Gain (PHG) in detecting recurrent cycles.
  • Successfully resisted false positives through a formalized Separation Lemma.
  • Shifted observability paradigm to continuous geometric trajectory evaluation.

Abstract

Long-horizon autonomous agents frequently enter recurrent, low-productivity cycles prior to triggering explicit system failures, such as execution timeouts or token exhaustion. This paper introduces AAM-V1, an architecture-agnostic runtime telemetry middleware designed to predictively detect these silent degradations. We hypothesize that trajectory dimensional collapse in the agent's latent state-space acts as a robust, early-warning signal for recurrent failure. The proposed framework evaluates sequences using a minimal set of computable runtime metrics: Participation Ratio (PR), Recurrence Determinism (DET), and Spatial Mobility. Through passive replay-backtesting on historical logs from SWE-agents, robotics planners, and swarm simulations, we demonstrate that AAM-V1 yields a measurable Predictive Horizon Gain (PHG) while resisting false positives through a formalized Separation Lemma. This work shifts the observability paradigm from step-level syntactic correctness to continuous geometric trajectory evaluation, providing a critical safety and recoverability layer for autonomous deployment.

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Cite This Study

ANDRII ARTSYBASHEV (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a095c2c7880e6d24efe239ahttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20207026
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