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October 18, 2025Acta Montanistica Slovaca0 citationsOpen Access

Factors Influencing the Divergence of Precious Metals Prices: The Case of Gold in 2024

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MBMonika BURGHAUSEROVÁ

Key Points

  • Changes in interest rates significantly impacted gold price volatility, indicating economic sensitivity.
  • Geopolitical tensions were key drivers in shaping the trends and forecasts for gold prices this year.
  • Inflation expectations also played a major role in influencing the record prices of gold observed recently.
  • Forecasting models demonstrate that gold will remain an essential safe haven asset amid global uncertainty.

Abstract

This study investigates the key factors influencing the divergence of gold prices in 2024. Using content analysis of scientific articles, multilayer perceptron neural networks, and SARIMA modeling, the research identifies economic and geopolitical drivers that shaped gold market trends. The results indicate that changes in interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and inflation expectations significantly contributed to price volatility and record gold prices. A forecast based on historical patterns and macroeconomic variables suggests that gold will continue to serve as a critical safe haven asset amid global uncertainty. The study highlights the complexity of gold price forecasting and suggests directions for future research.

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Cite This Study

Monika BURGHAUSEROVÁ (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68f408995de60f8893c6fd0ahttps://doi.org/10.46544/ams.v30i2.07
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