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January 16, 2026Critical Pathways in Cardiology A Journal of Evidence-Based Medicine0 citations

The Impact of Different Chronic Total Occlusion Scores on Treatment Plan and Procedural Outcome CTO Scores ’ Impact on Procedural Success

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HAHany Tawfik AbdelrazekHMHatem Hossam MowafyMHMahmoud Mohamed Abdelghany Hassan

Key Result

The J-CTO score demonstrated the highest positive predictive value (88.89%) for predicting complex CTO PCI success, followed by CL CTO (88.79%), CASTLE CTO (86.84%), and Progress CTO (86.51%).

Key Points

  • The aim is to evaluate the effectiveness of various CTO scoring systems in foreseeing procedural success and complications during PCI.
  • Included patients with CTO in at least one coronary artery scheduled for elective PCI based on ischemia evidence.
  • Experienced operators performed PCI while recording procedural variables and complications.
  • Compared different CTO scores (J-CTO, CL CTO, CASTLE CTO, Progress CTO) regarding their predictive values.
  • J-CTO score showed the highest positive predictive value at 88.89%.
  • CL CTO score followed closely with 88.79%, while CASTLE CTO and Progress CTO scores were at 86.84% and 86.51%, respectively.
  • All scores had specificity ranging from 59.2% to 76.3%, and accuracy between 62.61% to 72.52%.
  • No statistical significance was found in complications related to CTO scores.

Study Design

Type

Observational

Structured PICO

Which CTO scoring system best predicts PCI procedural success and complications in patients with chronic total occlusion?

P
Population
Patients with a chronic total occlusion (CTO) in at least one coronary artery who were scheduled for elective percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) based on objective evidence of ischemia.
E
Exposure
Assessment of procedural potential using different CTO scoring systems (J-CTO, CL CTO, CASTLE CTO, Progress CTO, ORA score)
C
Comparator
Comparison among the different CTO scoring systems
O
Outcome
PCI procedural success and associated patient complications

J-CTO and CASTLE scores provide slightly greater accuracy in predicting complex CTO PCI success compared to PROGRESS CTO and CL scores.

Abstract

Chronic total occlusion (CTO) lesions in coronary arteries present a significant challenge, often resulting in referrals for coronary artery bypass graft surgery. Successful percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for CTOs demands an accurate assessment of procedural potential. This study aimed to compare the efficacy of different CTO scoring systems in predicting the PCI procedural success and the associated patient complications. It included patients with a CTO in at least one coronary artery who were scheduled for elective PCI based on objective evidence of ischemia. Experienced operators performed the PCI, recorded procedural variables, and assessed complications. Our findings indicated that the J-CTO score had the highest positive predictive value (PPV) at 88.89%, closely followed by the CL CTO score at 88.79%, the CASTLE CTO score at 86.84%, and lastly, the Progress CTO score at 86.51%. All scores fell within an acceptable specificity range of 59.2% to 76.3%, while accuracy varied from 62.61% to 72.52%. We also estimated these values using the best Youden index, which was 0.362 for J-CTO, 0.355 for CASTLE CTO, 0.330 for CL CTO, and 0.283 for Progress CTO, thus maximizing sensitivity and specificity at a particular point. The relation between CTO scores and complications showed comparable differences with no statistical significance and no correlation regarding the cut-off value. This study shows that J-CTO and CASTLE provide slightly greater accuracy in predicting complex CTO PCI success compared to PROGRESS CTO and CL. However, the ORA score did not demonstrate statistical significance in our patients.

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Cite This Study

Abdelrazek et al. (2026) conducted an observational in Chronic total occlusion (CTO). CTO scoring systems (J-CTO, CL CTO, CASTLE CTO, Progress CTO) was evaluated on PCI procedural success and associated patient complications. The J-CTO score demonstrated the highest positive predictive value (88.89%) for predicting complex CTO PCI success, followed by CL CTO (88.79%), CASTLE CTO (86.84%), and Progress CTO (86.51%).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6969d4dc940543b977709ccchttps://doi.org/10.1097/hpc.0000000000000408
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1Value of different CTO scoring systems in predicting procedural success in coronary chronic total occlusion intervention in Egyptian patients2024 · 3 citations
  2. 2Choice of CTO scores to predict procedural success in clinical practice. A comparison of 4 different CTO PCI scores in a comprehensive national registry including expert and learning CTO operators2021 · 22 citations
  3. 3CASTLE score versus J-CTO score for the prediction of technical success in chronic total occlusion percutaneous revascularisation2020 · 28 citations
  4. 4D-45 | J-CTO score as a predictor for outcomes after percutaneous coronary intervention of chronic total occlusions2024
  5. 5Validation and comparison of five chronic total occlusion scores to predict difficulty of percutaneous coronary intervention.2026