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January 16, 2026Science Progress0 citationsOpen Access

Body fat ratio and gallstone disease risk: A cross-sectional study identifying a nonlinear risk threshold at 29.1%

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HZHaiyuan ZhaoYFYongxin FangNYNianzhao Yang

Key Points

  • The study aimed to explore the relationship between body fat ratio and gallstone disease, focusing on identifying a critical threshold for risk.
  • Conducted a cross-sectional observational analysis of 1952 adults from NHANES 2017-2018
  • Measured body fat ratio using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry
  • Defined gallstone disease through standardized questionnaires
  • Employed weighted logistic regression, restricted cubic spline, and threshold effect models
  • Identified a J-shaped nonlinear association between body fat ratio and gallstone disease risk (P < 0.001)
  • 29.1% body fat ratio was found to be the critical inflection point for increased gallstone disease risk
  • Each 1% increase in body fat ratio correlates with a 14% higher odds of gallstone disease (OR = 1.14) up to the threshold
  • Post-adjustment showed a 7% increase in risk for each additional 1% in body fat ratio (OR = 1.07)
  • Individuals in the highest quartile (BFR≥39.2%) displayed a 2.66-fold greater risk of gallstone disease

Abstract

Objective Traditional indicators of obesity, such as body mass index (BMI), fail to precisely capture the independent impact of fat distribution on gallstone disease (GSD). This study aimed to investigate the nonlinear association between body fat ratio (BFR) and the risk of GSD and to identify a critical threshold value. Method We conducted a cross-sectional observational analysis of 1952 adults from the 2017–2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). BFR was measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry, and GSD was defined by standardized questionnaire data. Weighted logistic regression, restricted cubic spline (RCS), and threshold effect models were employed to examine the association between BFR and GSD risk, as well as to determine the inflection point. Results A significant J-shaped nonlinear association was observed between BFR and GSD risk (P for non-linearity < 0.001). Threshold analysis identified 29.1% (95% CI: 27.5–30.7%) as the critical inflection point, beyond which each 1% increase in BFR was associated with a 14% higher odds of GSD (OR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.09–1.19). After multivariate adjustment, each additional 1% increase in BFR remained independently associated with a 7% increased risk (OR = 1.07, 95% CI: 1.02–1.13). Compared with participants in the lowest quartile, those in the highest quartile (BFR≥39.2%) exhibited a 2.66-fold higher risk of GSD. Subgroup analyses demonstrated stronger associations in males (OR ≈ 1.12 per 1% BFR increase) and Hispanics (OR ≈ 1.20 per 1% BFR increase). Conclusions BFR of ≥29.1% represents a critical threshold beyond which GSD risk significantly increases. These findings suggest an association that warrants further investigation into whether routine monitoring of BFR could serve as a valuable screening tool in high-risk populations, and precise intervention strategies should consider gender and ethnic differences to effectively mitigate metabolic-related gallstone disease.

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Cite This Study

Zhao et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6969d4fd940543b977709dc6https://doi.org/10.1177/00368504251413098
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