Synapse
⌘+K
Synapse
PulseExploreClubsResearchersJournals
Instagram
HomeClubsExplore
January 16, 2026Journal of Clinical MedicineOpen Access

Higher 48-72 h BUN/EF ratio predicts ~279% greater in-hospital mortality risk per SD after TAVR.

View Full Paper
Ask AI
Bookmark
Share

Why the study?

Renal and cardiac dysfunction determine adverse outcomes after TAVR, but the prognostic value of baseline and temporal 48-72 h BUN/EF ratios for predicting mortality had not been evaluated.

Does the baseline and 48-72 h BUN/EF ratio predict mortality in patients undergoing TAVR for severe aortic stenosis?

Population

429 patients who underwent TAVR for severe aortic stenosis

Comparison

Baseline vs temporal (48-72 h) BUN/EF ratios

Design

Retrospective cohort study

Follow-up

Median 733 days

Key result

Baseline and 48-72 h BUN/EF ratios were independently associated with long-term all-cause mortality after TAVR (HR 3.46 and 3.79 per 1 SD increase, respectively; both p<0.001).

Authors

AÇAykan ÇelikTKTuncay KırışFEFatma Esin

Discussion

Loading...

Member takes

Overview

The 48–72 h BUN/EF ratio was associated with post-TAVR mortality; leaves open whether it improves risk stratification in prospective cohorts.

Key Points

  • This study evaluates how effectively the BUN/EF ratio can predict mortality following transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR).
  • Retrospective analysis of 429 TAVR patients from 2017 to 2025
  • Assessment of baseline and 48–72 h BUN/EF ratios
  • Use of ROC curves, Cox regression, and reclassification metrics for analysis
  • Median follow-up of 733 days to monitor mortality outcomes
  • Overall mortality rate was 37.8% with in-hospital mortality at 7.9%
  • Both BUN/EF ratios were significantly predictive of mortality (HR = 3.46 and 3.79; p < 0.001)
  • The temporal BUN/EF ratio showed higher predictive accuracy for in-hospital mortality (AUC = 0.826)
  • Integrating baseline BUN/EF into EuroSCORE II improved predictive performance (AUC 0.712)

Study Design

Type

Cohort (n=429)

Structured PICO

Does the baseline and 48-72 h BUN/EF ratio predict mortality in patients undergoing TAVR for severe aortic stenosis?

P
Population
429 patients (mean age 76 years, 51% female) undergoing TAVR for severe aortic stenosis, followed for a median of 733 days.
E
Exposure
Measurement of baseline and temporal (48–72 h) blood urea nitrogen to left ventricular ejection fraction (BUN/EF) ratio
O
Outcome
Long-term all-cause mortalityhard clinical

Main Result

Hazard Ratio: 3.46

p-value: p=<0.001

The BUN/EF ratio, particularly measured at 48-72 hours post-procedure, is a strong independent predictor of early and long-term mortality after TAVR, improving risk stratification beyond the EuroSCORE II.

Cite This Study

Çelik et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in severe aortic stenosis (n=429). BUN/EF ratio (baseline and 48-72 h) was evaluated on long-term all-cause mortality (HR 3.46, p=<0.001). Baseline and 48-72 h BUN/EF ratios were independently associated with long-term all-cause mortality after TAVR (HR 3.46 and 3.79 per 1 SD increase, respectively; both p<0.001).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6969d4fd940543b977709ef7https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm15020676
View Full Paper
Ask AI
Bookmark
Share