Using Satellite-Based Evapotranspiration (ESTIMET) in SWAT to Quantify Sediment Yield in Scarce Data in a Desertified Watershed

The ESTIMET (Enhanced and Spatial-Temporal Improvement of MODIS EvapoTranspiration algorithm) model provides continuous, spatially distributed daily ET, essential for model calibration in data-scarce environments where conventional hydrological monitoring is unavailable. The challenge of applying SWAT in arid regions without ground observations, this study proposes a remote-sensing-based calibration approach using ESTIMET to overcome data scarcity. Daily satellite-derived evapotranspiration (ET) data to assess the performance of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used to evaluate the performance of the SWAT in a desertified watershed in Brazil, aiming to assess ESTIMET’s effectiveness in supporting SWAT calibration, quantify sediment yield, and examine the influence of land-use changes on environmental quality over 21-years period. The results highlight a distinct hydrological response in SWAT initially underestimated ET, contrasting with patterns typically observed in other semi-arid applications and demonstrating that desertified environments require distinct calibration strategies. Performance indicators showed strong agreement between observed and simulated ET (R2 = 0.94; NSE = 0.76), supporting satellite-based ET as a valuable source for improving SWAT performance in watersheds where empirical hydrometeorological data are sparse or unevenly distributed. Sediment yield was generally low to moderate, with degradation concentrated in bare-soil areas associated with deforestation.