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January 20, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Economic Autophagy under Superintelligence: A Structural Model of Systemic Over-Optimization and Institutional Self-Consumption

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EHExplorer Harvey

Key Points

  • This research aims to explore the concept of economic autophagy, where optimized institutions can self-destruct in pursuit of efficiency.
  • Developed a gain-delay model linking optimization gain and feedback capacity.
  • Defined resilience as a stock variable and established empirical estimation procedures.
  • Applied the model to various contexts like software quality assurance and high-frequency trading.
  • Proposed that as optimization gains accelerate, institutions can shift from stable growth to structural collapse.
  • Identified potential countermeasures to prevent economic autophagy, such as engineered friction and interpretive incentives.

Abstract

In the era of superintelligent systems, societies may face a novel form of systemic self-destruction: economic autophagy. We define economic autophagy as a regime in which highly optimized, algorithmically controlled institutions consume their own structural foundations—human interpretive labor, redundancy, and slack—in pursuit of short-term efficiency. Drawing on feedback control and non-equilibrium thermodynamics, we propose a gain–delay model in which optimization gain (G) accelerates faster than corrective feedback capacity (D), inducing a phase transition from stable growth to structural collapse. We formalize resilience as a stock variable (Rt), provide operational proxies suitable for public disclosures, and propose empirical procedures to estimate the critical damping constant (kcrit). We illustrate the framework with testable predictions in software QA (SHIFT Inc.), high-frequency trading, and just-in-time supply chains. We further propose practical countermeasures—engineered friction, interpretive incentives, and minimum resilience buffers—to operationalize safe bounds for AI deployment. Author's Note: This paper originated from a simple consumer frustration: GPU and memory prices are too high! What started as a complaint evolved into this theoretical model.

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Cite This Study

Explorer Harvey (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/696f1a469e64f732b51ee83chttps://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18279321
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