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January 22, 2026˜The œinternational archives of the photogrammetry, remote sensing and spatial information sciences/International archives of the photogrammetry, remote sensing and spatial information sciences0 citationsOpen Access

Analysing land use/land cover change and prediction in a cloudy urban area using SAR: the case of Douala, Cameroon

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ALAloysious Kohtem Lebga

Key Points

  • To analyze and predict land use and land cover changes in Douala, Cameroon, affected by cloud cover.
  • Utilized synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images processed through deep machine algorithms in Google Earth Engine.
  • Classified images using a Random Forest Classifier.
  • Analyzed land use changes over the period from 2016 to 2024.
  • Built-up area increased from 26% to 34% from 2016 to 2024.
  • Vegetation decreased from 38% to 30% during the same period.
  • Predictions indicate built-up area could reach 49% by 2035, while vegetation may drop significantly.

Abstract

Abstract. Land use/land cover change analyses and prediction remains a fundamental tool in shaping urban decision making. This is because it keeps a spatial track record of the past, present and predict the future. The city of Douala is one of those coastal cities that is under permanent cloud cover which makes it difficult to use optical sensors, therefore existing works within this area remain inadequate. The Synthetic Aperture Radar images were processed using deep machine algorithms in Google Earth Engine Platform using multiple polarisations. Moreso, Random Forest Classifier was used to classify both images. Results show that the built-up area has increased from 26 to 34% from 2016 - 2024, vegetation has drastically reduced from 38 to 30% while the areas occupied by bare land and water show a slide increase 0.08 and 0.15% respectively. In addition, land use/land cover prediction reveals that the built-up area will occupy close to half of the total surface area in 2035 (49%) and vegetation will reduce drastically to less that halve of its present state. Meanwhile bare land and water remains more or less the same compare to their presence state. The overall accuracy ranges between 80-84% and kapa between 79-85%. Thus, this can be a strategic information to both public and private agencies involved in drafting, orienting and monitoring urban growth in a cloudy environment.

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Cite This Study

Aloysious Kohtem Lebga (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6971bdad642b1836717e25e9https://doi.org/10.5194/isprs-archives-xlviii-4-w17-2025-387-2026
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