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January 23, 20260 citationsOpen Access

The Kinetic Singularity: Computational Saturation Points in Unregulated Autonomous Swarms

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MMMark T. Maybury

Key Points

  • The aim is to define the Kinetic Singularity threshold impacting autonomous drone swarm operations.
  • Developed a theoretical model of Kinetic Singularity
  • Provided an energy-balance proof
  • Conducted a numerical example with 1,000 agents
  • Analyzed computational and physical reaction times
  • Identified a critical density threshold for drone swarms
  • Demonstrated latency issues beyond this threshold
  • Proposed deterministic protocols to prevent systemic gridlock

Abstract

Current autonomous fleet protocols rely on decentralized “Sense and Avoid” (SAA) logic. While effective at low density, SAA scales with quadratic complexity (O(n²)). We present a theoretical model defining the “Kinetic Singularity”—a critical density threshold where the computational energy required for collision avoidance exceeds the energy available for propulsion. We argue that infinite-space assumptions embedded in legacy navigation stacks will lead to systemic gridlock in bounded urban airspaces. To maintain linear scaling (O(n)), we propose a shift from reactive avoidance to deterministic “Kinetic Scarcity” protocols. This short paper defines the "Kinetic Singularity" threshold where computational energy demands for collision avoidance paralyze autonomous drone swarms, forcing a halt cascade. It includes a simple energy-balance proof, a numerical example (N=1,000 agents → >120 ms compute latency vs. 50 ms physical reaction window), and a call for pre-allocated, deterministic protocols to restore linear scaling and prevent energy starvation in high-density operations.

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Cite This Study

Mark T. Maybury (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69730f9fc8125b09b0d1f602https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18329881
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