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February 2, 2026Chaos An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science0 citations

Climate network reveals cross-seasonal teleconnections between heatwaves and cold waves

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PYPing YuJMJun Meng

Key Points

  • The aim is to explore the relationship between summer heatwaves and winter cold waves amid climate change.
  • Used a complex network framework for analysis
  • Utilized global reanalysis data from 1981 to 2020
  • Examined interactions across different climate modes
  • Identified robust cross-seasonal teleconnections between summer heatwaves and winter cold waves
  • Showed that large-scale climate modes influence these connections
  • Revealed implications for predicting extreme weather across seasons

Abstract

Climate change is reshaping the global pattern of extremes, driving more frequent heatwaves, synchronous events, and compound hazards. This complexity renders the analysis and prediction of extreme events—such as heatwaves and cold waves—no longer confined to regional or weather-scale processes, as their interactions may trigger cascading and multiscale impacts. Using a complex network framework applied to global reanalysis data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (1981–2020), we identify robust cross-seasonal teleconnections linking boreal summer heatwaves with winter cold waves, despite their contrasting manifestations. These connections are modulated by large-scale climate modes such as El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the Arctic Oscillation, suggesting that the underlying dynamics transcend seasonal boundaries. This newly revealed relationship exposes previously unexplored correlations, enhances prospects for seasonal-to-interannual prediction of extremes, and underscores the pivotal role of large-scale climate modes in bridging summer and winter variability across hemispheres.

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Cite This Study

Yu et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6980fd9dc1c9540dea80f675https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0315026
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