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February 2, 2026SAGE Open1 citationsOpen Access

Impact of Climate Change on Geopolitical Risk from 1994 to 2020

Effect of Climate Change on Geopolitical Risk: From 1994 to 2020

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Authors

HKHaiqian KeLKLingjing KongYZYaoyi Zhang

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Overview

Explores how climate change affects geopolitical risk across 40 countries, suggesting significant implications for global stability.

Key Points

  • The aim is to examine the relationship between climate change and geopolitical risk over a span from 1994 to 2020, identifying scenarios of varying effects.
  • Analysis of geopolitical risk across 40 countries from 1994 to 2020
  • Statistical evaluation of temperature effects on geopolitical risk
  • Comparison of impacts in developed and under-developed regions
  • A 1% increase in temperature correlates with a 2.1% rise in geopolitical risk
  • The correlation between temperature and geopolitical risk has diminished since 2004
  • Under-developed and arid countries experience greater effects from temperature increases
  • Rising temperatures reduce manufacturing growth, human development index, and wheat yields
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Cite This Study

Ke et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6980ffb4c1c9540dea81258bhttps://doi.org/10.1177/21582440251414702
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Also Consider

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  4. 4Geopolitical Risks, Global Value Chains, and CO₂ Emissions : An Empirical Analysis of Developed and Developing Economies2025
  5. 5The impact of geopolitical tension on the economic development rates of developed and developing countries2026