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February 5, 2026Frontiers in Public HealthOpen Access

FaXNet: a frequency-adaptive, explainable, and uncertainty-aware network for influenza forecasting

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Authors

WHWei HeXLXuanfeng LiXLXiaolin Liang

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Overview

FaXNet demonstrates superior influenza forecasts in China, indicating effective multi-scale modeling techniques.

Key Points

  • The study aims to develop and evaluate FaXNet, a novel deep learning framework for accurate influenza forecasting.
  • Developed FaXNet integrating spectral representation and probabilistic forecasting.
  • Compiled weekly influenza positivity rates and aligned them with weather data from 2011 to 2023.
  • Evaluated against various forecasting baselines for 1–4-week-ahead predictions using accuracy and calibration metrics.
  • FaXNet achieved 1-week-ahead R 2 of 0.9319 in the north and 0.8665 in the south.
  • 4-week-ahead R 2 was 0.4493 (north) and 0.4960 (south).
  • It showed significant performance improvements over all benchmarks, especially in mitigation of error accumulation.

Cite This Study

He et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69843371f1d9ada3c1fb09b4https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2026.1746529
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