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February 8, 2026Government and Opposition0 citationsOpen Access

Emigration as an Electoral Issue: Public Concern and Political Choice in Eastern and Southern Europe

FVFrancesco ViscontiAKAnna Kyriazi

Key Points

  • This research aims to explore how concerns about emigration affect electoral behavior in peripheral EU countries.
  • Conducted a survey in nine peripheral EU countries in 2021
  • Analyzed the relationship between emigration concerns and voting behavior
  • Investigated the moderating role of political trust
  • Assessed the impact on support for governing and radical-right parties
  • Concerns about emigration reduce support for governing parties among politically trusting individuals
  • Emigration fears tend to favor radical-right parties but can affect various party types
  • The politicization of emigration varies by country based on local political conditions

Abstract

Abstract It is well established that attitudes towards immigration are linked to policy preferences and voting behaviour. However, we lack insights on the relevance of the other side of the migration coin: emigration. This is especially pertinent in the European Union (EU), which guarantees free movement of persons and where large-scale mobility gained momentum following the Eastern enlargement (East to West) and the euro crisis (South to North). Drawing on a 2021 survey conducted in nine peripheral EU countries, this study investigates whether concerns about emigration shape electoral behaviour. Findings indicate that such concerns reduce support for governing parties, but only among individuals with high levels of political trust, highlighting trust as a key moderating factor. At the country level, concerns about emigration favour radical-right parties, though not exclusively. In fact, the politicization of emigration can potentially benefit (or disadvantage) a range of parties depending on national political conditions.

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Cite This Study

Visconti et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698827b40fc35cd7a8846ab5https://doi.org/10.1017/gov.2025.10031
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