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February 8, 2026European Heart Journal0 citations

Machine-learning informed subtypes of heart failure and their palliative care trajectories: a population-based cohort study

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SASarah AliLPL PaseaCCChiu‐Wing Winnie Chu

Key Result

Among 51,332 HF patients, only 30% received palliative care, with Cancer-Associated subtype initiating PC earliest (2.6 years) and Late-Onset subtype having shortest PC duration (0.35 years).

Key Points

  • The research aims to identify distinct heart failure subtypes and evaluate their palliative care trajectories to enhance access and quality of care.
  • Utilized electronic health records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink in England.
  • Identified individuals aged ≥18 years with incident heart failure who died during follow-up.
  • Applied a machine learning-informed framework to define heart failure subgroups based on various health factors.
  • Used Kaplan-Meier estimates to assess survival and palliative care trajectories across these subgroups.
  • Of 51,332 individuals with heart failure, 15,376 (30%) received palliative care.
  • Identified five heart failure subgroups: Cancer-Associated (9.3%), Cardiometabolic (12.7%), Metabolic (42.9%), AF-Associated (5.9%), and Late-Onset (29.2%).
  • Median time to palliative care initiation was 4.3 years post-diagnosis; Cancer-Associated subtype had the earliest initiation at 2.6 years.
  • Late-Onset subtype exhibited the shortest median palliative care duration before death, at 0.35 years.
  • Significant differences in palliative care receipt were noted across subtypes (p < 0.0001).

Structured PICO

Do palliative care trajectories and receipt differ across machine-learning informed subtypes of heart failure?

P
Population
51,332 individuals aged ≥18 years with incident heart failure who died during follow-up, identified from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) in England.
I
Intervention
Machine-learning informed heart failure subtyping (Cancer-Associated, Cardiometabolic, Metabolic, AF-Associated, and Late-Onset)
O
Outcome
Palliative care trajectories (receipt of palliative care, time to initiation, and duration before death)

Despite high end-of-life needs, palliative care in heart failure is underutilized (30%) and its timing varies significantly by patient subtype, with late-onset HF patients receiving it latest.

Abstract

Abstract Introduction Heart failure (HF) significantly contributes to global morbidity and mortality, yet the provision of palliative care (PC) remains suboptimal in this population. Despite its anticipated benefits in symptom management and quality of life, the patterns of PC engagement across diverse HF subgroups are not well-defined. This study aims to identify HF subtypes and evaluate their PC trajectories to inform targeted strategies for improving PC access and delivery. Methods Using linked electronic health records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) in England, we identified individuals aged ≥18 years with incident HF who died during follow-up. A previously developed machine learning-informed analytical framework was applied to define distinct HF subgroups based on demographic characteristics, biomarkers, hospitalizations, and comorbidities. Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimates were used to assess survival and PC trajectories across these subgroups. Results Among 51,332 individuals with incident HF, 15,376 (30%) received PC. Five distinct HF subgroups were identified: Cancer-Associated (9.3%), Cardiometabolic (12.7%), Metabolic (42.9%), AF-Associated (5.9%), and Late-Onset (29.2%). The median time to PC initiation (in those receiving it) following the diagnosis of HF was 4.3 years (IQR: 1.8–8.5). The Cancer-Associated subtype received PC earliest (median 2.6 years post-HF), while the Late-Onset subtype had the latest initiation (2.9 years) and the shortest median PC duration before death (0.35 years). Approximately 30% of patients had limited PC access. KM analysis demonstrated significant differences in PC receipt across these subtypes (p 0.0001). Interpretation: Despite the high symptom burden and end-of-life needs in HF, receipt of PC remains limited, particularly among ‘late-onset’ HF patients. These findings underscore the inequity of PC provision even for high-risk groups in whom the early integration of wholistic care might benefit quality of life.Heart failure/palliative care subtypes Percentage of subtypes of HF/PC

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Cite This Study

Ali et al. (2025) studied this question. Among 51,332 HF patients, only 30% received palliative care, with Cancer-Associated subtype initiating PC earliest (2.6 years) and Late-Onset subtype having shortest PC duration (0.35 years).

synapsesocial.com/papers/698828100fc35cd7a8847421https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehaf784.4425
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