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February 9, 2026Land Degradation and Development0 citations

From Growth to Green: The Complex Interplay of Renewables, Forest Land Management and Trade on GHG Emissions

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GCGuannan ChenZYZhenhuang YangGMGrzegorz Mentel

Key Points

  • The research aims to analyze how solar thermal and wind energy, along with other factors, influence global GHG emissions.
  • Utilized the extended STIRPAT model for analysis
  • Assessed data covering 1990Q1 to 2021Q4
  • Applied the autoregressive distributed lag model for mixed integration order variables
  • Considered factors such as economic growth, foreign trade, forest management, and urbanization
  • Solar thermal and wind energy significantly reduce GHG emissions both in the short- and long-run
  • Nonlinear effects of solar and wind energy are stronger compared to linear effects
  • Forest areas correlate significantly with reduced GHG emissions
  • Economic growth initially increases emissions but decreases them in the long run as per the environmental Kuznets curve
  • Urbanization and international trade are major contributors to increased GHG emissions

Abstract

ABSTRACT Due to severe climate challenges, global economies are transitioning to green energy, specifically, the solar thermal and wind energy to attain the COP28 targets and sustainable development goals (SDGs). To fulfill energy demand, countries are investing in these sources, yet their role in the global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is not clearly examined. The objective of this research is to examine the linear and nonlinear implications of solar thermal and wind energy on global GHG emissions. Employing the extended STIRPAT model, this study further considers the role of forest land management, economic growth, foreign trade, and urbanization over the period 1990Q1–2021Q4. The autoregressive distributed lag model has been used to address the mixed integration order variables. The empirical results indicate that both linear and nonlinear solar thermal, forest land resources, and wind energy significantly reduce GHG emissions in the short‐ and long‐run. The influence of nonlinear solar and wind energy is stronger than their linear terms. Additionally, the forest areas are significantly correlated with the decreased emissions level. On the other hand, the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis is valid as economic growth boosts emissions in the short run while diminishing it in the long run. In contrast, the results reveal that urbanization and international trade are the leading drivers of global GHG emissions. Based on the findings, this study recommends promoting renewable energy investment, forest conservation incentives, and carbon‐border adjustments.

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Cite This Study

Chen et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69897a86f0ec2af6756e8b5fhttps://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.70431
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