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February 12, 2026Journal of the American Heart Association1 citationsOpen Access

Cardiac Output During Exercise: Thermodilution Versus Direct Fick

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MSMatthew T. SiubaJLJoseph M. LaneVMVaidehi Mendpara

Key Points

  • The study aims to compare the accuracy of thermodilution and direct Fick methods for measuring cardiac output during exercise.
  • Conducted a single-center prospective cohort study over three years.
  • Evaluated patients undergoing invasive cardiopulmonary exercise tests.
  • Used generalized additive modeling to predict cardiac output at different exercise stages.
  • Performed Bland-Altman analysis to compare measurements at rest and peak exercise.
  • Thermodilution significantly differed from direct Fick at rest and during peak exercise (P <0.001).
  • Thermodilution underestimated direct Fick at rest but overestimated at max exercise.
  • Wide limits of agreement were found, especially at peak exercise (−0.08 (−4.5 to +4.35) L/min).
  • Only minor misclassification of exercise pulmonary hypertension types occurred using thermodilution compared to direct Fick.

Abstract

Background Accurate cardiac output (CO) measurements during exercise are essential for the diagnosis of exercise pulmonary hypertension (PH), exercise precapillary PH, and exercise postcapillary PH. The purpose of this study is to compare performance of thermodilution CO to gold‐standard direct Fick CO (dfCO) at rest and exercise. Methods A single‐center prospective cohort study of patients undergoing invasive cardiopulmonary exercise test over a 3‐year period. For the primary outcome, we predicted CO at each stage of exercise and recovery using generalized additive modeling. In secondary analysis, we assessed mean differences in CO across exercise stages and Bland–Altman analysis at rest and peak exercise. Finally, we assessed the impact in classification of exercise PH, exercise precapillary PH, and exercise postcapillary PH between the 2 CO methods. Results A total of 302 patients were included. In the primary analysis, the generalized additive model smooth term was significantly different between thermodilution and dfCO ( P <0.001), with thermodilution underestimating dfCO at rest and overestimating dfCO at max exercise. Wide limits of agreement were noted between thermodilution and dfCO, particularly at peak exercise (−0.08 (−4.5 to +4.35) L/min). The classification of exercise PH, exercise precapillary PH, and exercise postcapillary PH was not significantly different between CO methods (4, 3, and 1 patient misclassified by thermodilution, respectively). CO reserve using thermodilution was overestimated compared with dfCO (96.66% versus 88.45%, P <0.001). Conclusions There are differences and wide limits of agreement between thermodilution and dfCO both at rest and during exercise. Sequential measurement of thermodilution during exercise with computing of mPAP/CO and PAWP/CO slopes, reduced the clinical impact of the differences in the diagnosis of exercise PH or exercise postcapillary PH.

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Cite This Study

Siuba et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/698d6eca5be6419ac0d54912https://doi.org/10.1161/jaha.125.047657
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