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February 19, 2026The Accounting Review0 citationsOpen Access

Analyst Rational Inattention: Evidence from CEO Turnover Events

RGR. Thomas GodwinTGTheodore H. GoodmanRSR. Christopher Small

Key Points

  • The research aims to explore how analyst attention shifts during CEO turnover events and its impact on forecasting accuracy for other firms in their portfolio.
  • Examined attention allocation by analysts in response to CEO turnover events.
  • Analyzed forecasting accuracy for firms without CEO changes.
  • Considered costs and benefits influencing analysts' attention shifts.
  • Analysts increased focus on firms with CEO turnover, decreasing their attention on others.
  • Reduced forecasting accuracy observed in firms without turnover during this period.
  • Attention allocation varies based on the specific costs and benefits of focusing on event firms.

Abstract

ABSTRACT We consider the dynamics of analyst inattention by investigating how analysts allocate their attention when a firm in their portfolio experiences CEO turnover. Our analysis shows that analysts tend to divert their attention toward firms that experience such events, resulting in less attention and a corresponding reduction in forecasting accuracy for nonevent firms. Furthermore, this reduction in accuracy varies with factors related to the costs and benefits of rationally allocating attention to firms that have experienced CEO turnover. Collectively, our analysis responds to the call for research on rational inattention among analysts and illustrates the specific intraportfolio events that alter attention allocation and information. JEL Classifications: G10; G11; G17; G14; M12; M40; M41.

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Cite This Study

Godwin et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6996a7e3ecb39a600b3edfe3https://doi.org/10.2308/tar-2022-0684
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