Accurate estimation of building-specific air change rates is important for reliable urban-scale energy modeling, particularly in densely populated regions where airflow calculations must account for complex boundary conditions associated with urban geometry. This study applied lumped-parameter airflow models to simulate interzone airflow by calculating the internal pressures using simplified building representations. Air change rates were calculated by solving a system of nonlinear equations, with boundary conditions defined by localized wind inputs corrected using aerodynamic parameters extracted from three-dimensional urban geometry. By linking these wind-related boundary conditions with lumped-parameter airflow models, the methodology describes spatial variability in natural infiltration across a broad range of urban densities. Two cities were compared to test the variability in building air change rates using local boundary conditions: New York City, a dense modern city, and Turin, a typical medium-density European city. Moreover, verifying the lumped-parameter model against CONTAM (Version 3.4.0.6) showed accurate results, with a mean absolute percentage error of 1.2% across 120 simulated weather scenarios. Furthermore, comparing energy consumption predictions using building-specific air change rates to those using fixed air change rates showed improved accuracy, resulting in an average error reduction of 27% over the entire heating season for a sample building. This scalable, automated approach enables more accurate assessments of ventilation-driven energy use in compact urban areas.
Usta et al. (2026) studied this question.