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February 21, 2026Cold Regions Science and Technology0 citationsOpen Access

A parameterization for estimating ice sublimation in the Qilian mountains

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KMKaiFeng MaJLJunfeng LiuCHChuntan Han

Key Points

  • The aim is to create a reliable formula for estimating ice sublimation in the Qilian Mountains to improve environmental assessments.
  • Developed an empirical formula based on Tmax, RH, U, and Span to simulate daily sublimation (Sice).
  • Compared performance of the new formula with standard methods like bulk aerodynamics and the Penman-Monteith equation.
  • Conducted analyses using in situ observations from the Hulugou watershed.
  • The new formula achieved a correlation coefficient of 0.84 with in situ data.
  • Demonstrated better performance than existing methods based on various statistical metrics.
  • Showed mean absolute errors of only 0.23 mm d −1, indicating reliable estimates.

Abstract

Sublimation is a key component of land–atmosphere interactions and represents an important pathway of mass loss from snow/ice surfaces. Accurate quantification of sublimation is crucial for understanding these processes in which sublimation is involved. However, conventional approaches, including the eddy covariance and bulk aerodynamics, suffer from considerable uncertainties, making the observation and simulation of sublimation highly challenging. To solve this problem, we established an empirical formula based on the daily maximum temperature (Tmax), relative humidity (RH), wind speed (U), and D20 pan sublimation (Span) in the Hulugou small watershed of Qilian Mountains to simulate the daily ice surface sublimation (Sice). At the same time, bulk aerodynamics, Penman-Monteith equation, gravimetric method, and two other empirical formulas were also utilized to estimate sublimation. A comparative analysis demonstrated that our proposed formula outperformed all other methods, with correlation coefficients (CC), Kling-Gupta coefficients (KGE), relative deviations (Bias), and mean absolute errors (MAE) of 0.84, 0.76, 0.04 mm d −1 , and 0.23 mm d −1 , respectively. Owing to its simple and easily obtainable parameters and reliable simulation capability, this formula is highly suitable for quantifying the sublimation and snow/ice material balance research in the Qilian Mountains. This provides important assistance for local water resource management and climate research. • We proposed a parameterization to estimate the ice sublimation in the Qilian Mountains in winter. • Sublimation estimates derived from six commonly used methods are systematically evaluated against in situ observations in the Hulugou watershed of the Qilian Mountains. • The performance of different sublimation estimation methods is discussed based on previous studies.

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Cite This Study

Ma et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69994b01873532290d01f4echttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2026.104875
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