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February 21, 20260 citationsOpen Access

NATO Pirates in the Baltic Sea? Lawfare in Russian Deterrence Strategy

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MVMariia Vladymyrova

Key Points

  • The article aims to analyze Russia's narrative of piracy in relation to its deterrence strategy and the implications of lawfare.
  • Thematic analysis of Russian official statements regarding piracy.
  • Examination of public discourse surrounding Russia's allegations.
  • Analysis of the intersection between international law and political strategy.
  • Moscow's piracy narrative persists in official discourse, despite lacking legal grounds.
  • The strategic invocation of piracy serves as a tool for coercive signaling.
  • Lawfare has become integral to Russia's approach in the Baltic region to deter European actions.

Abstract

Russia has repeatedly accused European states of ‘piracy’ for detaining vessels from its ‘shadow fleet’ suspected of grey zone activities in the Baltic Sea. These accusations are legally unfounded. However, the persistence of this narrative in both official statements and public discussion in Russia warrants closer scrutiny. This article argues against dismissing Moscow’s invocation of piracy as mere propaganda. These claims should be understood as lawfare – the strategic misuse of legal concepts to advance political objectives. This article examines how such lawfare complements Russia’s coercive signalling strategy and explores its broader strategic implications. Moscow’s piracy narrative reveals how hijacking the authority of international law has become integral to the Russian practice of deterrence.

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Cite This Study

Mariia Vladymyrova (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/69994cd2873532290d0219a3https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18702386
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