Spatiotemporal Evolution Monitoring of Small Water Body Coverage Associated with Land Subsidence Using SAR Data: A Case Study in Geleshan, Chongqing, China

Monitoring small water body coverage spatiotemporal evolution in karst areas of complex hydrogeology is pivotal for water resource management and disaster assessment. With recent infrastructure expansion, intensive tunnel excavation has occurred in Chongqing’s Geleshan, a typical karst region with fragile aquifers. It has disrupted hydrogeological systems, triggering ground subsidence, groundwater leakage, and subsequent reservoir desiccation, as well as threatening regional water security and ecology. Thus, monitoring reservoir coverage evolution is critical to clarify dynamics and driving mechanisms. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) is ideal for water body mapping, enabling data acquisition independent of illumination and weather. However, traditional SAR-based water extraction methods are hampered by low-scatter noise and poor adaptability to hydrological fluctuations. To address this, a two-stage dual-polarization SAR clustering algorithm (TSDPS-Clus) was developed using 452 time-series Sentinel-1 images (7 February 2017–24 August 2025). Specifically, the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test via pixel-wise time-series statistics screened core water areas, built candidate regions, and mitigated noise. Subsequently, dual-polarization and positional features were fused via singular value decomposition (SVD) to generate a high-discrimination low-dimensional feature set, followed by the Iterative Self-Organizing Data Analysis Techniques Algorithm (ISODATA) clustering for high-precision extraction. Results demonstrate that the algorithm suits reservoir storage-desiccation dynamics; dual-polarization complementarity boosts accuracy and clarifies six reservoirs’ spatiotemporal evolution. Notably, post-2023, tunnel excavation-induced land subsidence increased drying frequency and duration, with a 24-month maximum cumulative desiccation period.