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February 24, 2026International Journal of Climatology0 citations

Long‐Term Trends of Heat Stress Over the Coastal Regions of India

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PRP. RohiniMRM. RajeevanCSC. T. Sabeerali

Key Points

  • This research aims to analyze long-term trends in heat stress, specifically wet bulb temperature, along Indian coasts from 1981 to 2020.
  • Examined wet bulb temperature, dry bulb temperature, and specific humidity over four seasons.
  • Analyzed data from 1981 to 2020 for coastal regions of India.
  • Used probability density function analysis to assess warming and moistening trends.
  • Significant rise in seasonal daily maximum wet bulb temperature across all seasons.
  • East Coast experienced the most pronounced increases, especially in April–June.
  • Extreme values of wet bulb temperature and humidity intensified post-2000.
  • Percentage increase in specific humidity is greater on the East Coast compared to the West Coast.

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study investigates long‐term changes in wet bulb temperature (WBT) along the Indian coasts during 1981–2020, together with associated variations in dry bulb temperature (DBT) and specific humidity ( q ). The analysis is carried out separately for the four seasons—January–March (JFM), April–June (AMJ), July–September, and October–December (OND). The results show a significant rise in the seasonal daily maximum WBT across all seasons, with the most pronounced increase along the East Coast (EC), particularly during the AMJ season. On the West Coast (WC), WBT trends are primarily driven by DBT, whereas on the EC, both DBT and humidity contribute strongly to the observed WBT changes. Probability density function analysis indicates a persistent warming and moistening tendency across the coastal regions. Extremes of WBT, DBT, and relative humidity have intensified, with a marked escalation after 2000. The findings highlight global warming as the dominant driver of WBT changes. Notably, the percentage increase in q per 1°C warming is greater along the EC (up to 8.3%) than the WC (up to 6.5%), especially during the cooler seasons (JFM and OND). These results highlight that continued warming will likely intensify coastal heat stress across seasons, posing growing risks to communities along India's coasts.

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Cite This Study

Rohini et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/699d3fb3de8e28729cf6455chttps://doi.org/10.1002/joc.70307
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