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February 26, 2026RAUSP Management Journal0 citationsOpen Access

Relationship between search volume for digital transformation and stock returns: an empirical study in Vietnam

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TPTiến Phát PhạmDNDuc Ngoc NguyenTTTri Ba Tran

Key Points

  • The study aims to explore how the search volume for digital transformation affects stock returns in Vietnam.
  • Collected weekly data from Google Trends and vn.investing.com from 2019 to 2023
  • Employed VAR-Granger analysis to test causality
  • Conducted Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression to examine lagged effects
  • Utilized Copula approach to analyze structural dependency
  • VAR-Granger analysis shows unidirectional causality from digital transformation search volume to stock returns
  • OLS indicates a negative lagged impact of search volume on stock returns
  • Copula analysis reveals that the structural dependency follows a normal distribution, indicating equal likelihood of simultaneous changes

Abstract

Purpose This study aims to examine the relationship between digital transformation search volume and stock returns in the Vietnamese stock market. Design/methodology/approach The authors collected weekly data from Google Trends and vn.investing.com, spanning from week 33 of 2019 to week 32 of 2023. Using this data set, the authors used various quantitative approaches, including VAR-Granger, Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Copula, to test the relationships between variables. Findings The results obtained from VAR-Granger analysis reveal a unidirectional causality from digital transformation search volume to the stock returns of VN-Index, VN-30 and VN-100. Findings from the OLS indicate a negative lagged impact of search volume on digital transformation for stock returns. Moreover, using the Copula approach, the authors determine that the structural dependency between the search volume for digital transformation and the VN-Index follows a normal distribution. This suggests that simultaneous positive and negative changes between the variables are equally likely to occur. Research limitations/implications The study is meaningful further research. Practical implications The study is meaningful for stakeholders: investors and policymakers. Originality/value By offering these insights, this paper contributes to a deeper understanding of the relationship between digital transformation and firm performance within the stock exchange market.

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Cite This Study

Phạm et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/699fe33695ddcd3a253e6eb6https://doi.org/10.1108/rausp-10-2023-0214
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