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This work evaluates the tension between Conscious Geometry Theory's prediction of the tensor-to-scalar ratio and current observational limits.

February 27, 20260 citationsOpen Access

Conscious Geometry Theory - Tensor-to-Scalar Ratio Tension: Honest Assessment of r = αY = 0.051

PFPhileas Foxx

Key Points

This work evaluates the tension between Conscious Geometry Theory's prediction of the tensor-to-scalar ratio and current observational limits.
Analyzed predictions of the tensor-to-scalar ratio from Conscious Geometry Theory.
Compared predictions with observational upper limits obtained from BICEP/Keck and Planck.
Documented the timeline for resolution based on upcoming observations (CMB-S4 and LiteBIRD).
CGT predicts a tensor-to-scalar ratio of r = 0.051 while observational limits are below 0.036.
The author's falsification threshold remains unviolated at r < 0.01.
Future observations (CMB-S4 ~2028) may clarify this tension.

Abstract

Transparent assessment of the tension between CGT's prediction of the tensor-to-scalar ratio r = αY = 7/137.036 = 0.051 and current observational upper limits of r < 0.032-0.036 (BICEP/Keck + Planck). Documents: when the prediction was made (January 2026, when r < 0.06), how the data has since tightened, the author's pre-registered falsification threshold (r < 0.01, not yet violated), and the timeline for definitive resolution (CMB-S4 ~2028, LiteBIRD ~2032). This note exists because scientific integrity requires leading with weaknesses, not hiding them. The remaining 148 predictions are unaffected by this tension.

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